Abstract

We evaluated the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and cancer mortality in incident type 2 diabetes. We used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD (1998-2015), linked with the Office of National Statistics mortalities, and derived an incident type 2 diabetes cohort (N=176 886; aged 30-85 years). We determined BMI ±12 months diabetes diagnosis. The primary outcome was cancer mortality, categorized into deaths from obesity-related cancers (ORCs) and non-ORCs. Secondary outcomes were site-specific cancer mortality and main causes of deaths [cancer, cardiovascular disease (CVD), non-cancer non-CVD]. We developed gender-specific Cox models and expressed risk as hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals, stratified by smoking status. With 886 850 person-years follow-up, 7593 cancer deaths occurred. Among women who never smoked, there were positive associations between BMI and deaths from endometrial (hazard ratios per 5 kg/m2 : 1.43; 95% confidence interval 1.26-1.61). Among men, associations between BMI and ORC mortality were inverse but attenuated towards null among never smokers and excluding deaths in the first 2 years. In men, the proportion of CVD deaths increased from 36.8% in BMI category 22.5 to 24.9 kg/m2 to 43.6% in BMI category ≥40 kg/m2 (p < .001). We found some relationships between BMI and cancer mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes, but interpretations need to account for smoking status, reverse causality and deaths from CVD.

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