Body mass decline in a Mediterranean community of solitary bees supports the size shrinking effect of climatic warming.

Abstract

The long-known, widely documented inverse relationship between body size and environmental temperature ("temperature-size rule") has recently led to predictions of body size decline following current climatic warming ("size shrinking effect"). For keystone pollinators such as wild bees, body shrinking in response to warming can have significant effects on pollination processes but there is still little direct evidence of the phenomenon because adequate tests require controlling for confounding factors linked to climate change (e.g., habitat change). This paper assesses the shrinking effect in a community of solitary bees from well-preserved habitats in the core of a large nature reserve experiencing climatic warming without disturbances or habitat changes. Long-term variation in mean body mass was evaluated using data from 1704 individual bees (137 species, 27 genera, 6 families) sampled over 1990-2023. Climate warmed at a fast rate during this period, annual mean of daily maximum temperature increasing 0.069°C/year on average during 2000-2020. Changes in bee body mass verified expectations from the size shrinking effect. The mean individual body mass of the community of solitary bees declined significantly, irrespective of whether the analysis referred to the full species sample or only to the subset of species that were sampled in both the old (1990-1997) and recent (2022-2023) periods. On average, body mass declined ~0.7%·year-1 , or an estimated average cumulative reduction of ~20 mg per individual bee from 1990 to 2023. Proportional size reduction was greatest among large-bodied species, ranging from around -0.6%·year-1 for the smallest species to -0.9%·year-1 for the largest ones. Declining rate was steeper for cavity-nesting than ground-nesting species. The pollination and mating systems of bee-pollinated plants in the study region are probably undergoing significant alterations as a consequence of supra-annual decline in bee body mass.