Abstract

B-mode ultrasound accurately measures both muscle mass, body density and percent body fat (% BF) in younger adults, but how well it can estimate % BF in middle-aged and older adults using DXA-derived %BF as the criterion is unclear. We sought to develop % BF prediction equations for middle-aged and older adults using ultrasound subcutaneous fat thickness (SFT). A cross-sectional study of Japanese adults (n=414, 50-79 years) where 276 subjects were randomly assigned to a model development group and the other 138 subjects were assigned to a cross-validation group. B-mode ultrasound measured SFT at nine sites. Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) measured % BF, arm fat mass (FM) and leg FM. Stepwise multiple linear regression developed prediction equations from anthropometric data (body mass, height, waist and hip circumference) and ultrasound SFT sites. Bland-Altman plots assessed validity of the prediction equations to measure % BF in the cross-validation group. The best prediction equation for % BF was the following: [% BF=15.709+(1.753*anterior trunk SFT)+(5.626*Sex)+(3.635*posterior upper arm SFT) - (4.428*anterior lower leg SFT) - (0.170*height)+(0.264*waist)+(anterior thigh SFT*2.241); r2=0.809, standard error of the estimate (SEE)=3.3kg]. Arm FM and leg FM prediction equations had r2 values ranging from 0.690 to 0.812 and SEEs of 0.29 and 0.75kg. A small mean bias was noted for estimating % BF (-0.14%), but large limits of agreement were found (-8.0-7.7%) and systematic error was noted in all of the equations (r=0.275 to 0.515, p<0.05). Despite high r2 values and a small mean bias found between predicted and DXA % BF, wide limits of agreement were found with some systematic error present. Therefore, these prediction equations for middle-aged and older adults may not be sufficiently accurate to use in a clinical setting.

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