BMD T-score discriminates trochanteric fractures from unfractured controls, whereas geometry discriminates cervical fracture cases from unfractured controls of similar BMD

Abstract

The ability of bone mineral density (BMD) to discriminate cervical and trochanteric hip fractures was studied. Since the majority of fractures occur among people who are not diagnosed as having osteoporosis, we also examined this population to elucidate whether geometrical risk factors can yield additional information on hip fracture risk beside BMD. The study showed that the T-score criterion was able to discriminate fracture patients from controls in the cases of trochanteric fractures, whereas geometrical measures may discriminate cervical fracture cases in patients with T-score >-2.5. Low bone mineral density (BMD) is a well-established risk factor for hip fracture. However, majority of fractures occur among people not diagnosed as having osteoporosis. We studied the ability of BMD to discriminate cervical and trochanteric hip fractures. Furthermore, we examined whether geometrical measures can yield additional information on the assessment of hip fracture risk in the fracture cases in subjects with T-score >-2.5. Study group consisted of postmenopausal females with non-pathologic cervical (n = 39) or trochanteric (n = 18) hip fracture (mean age 74.2 years) and 40 age-matched controls. BMD was measured at femoral neck, and femoral neck axis length, femoral neck and shaft cortex thicknesses (FNC and FSC), and femoral neck-shaft angle (NSA) were measured from radiographs. BMD T-score threshold of -2.5 was able to discriminate trochanteric fractures from controls (p < 0.001). Seventeen out of 18 trochanteric fractures occurred in individuals with T-score <or=-2.5. However, the T-score criterion was not able to discriminate cervical fractures. Twenty of these fractures (51.3%) occurred in individuals with BMD in osteoporotic range and 19 (48.7%) in individuals with T-score >-2.5. Within these non-osteoporotic cervical fracture patients (N = 19) and non-osteoporotic controls (N = 35), 83.3% were classified correctly based on a model including NSA and FNC (p < 0.001), area under the receiver operating characteristics curve being 0.85 for the model, while it was only 0.56 for BMD alone. The study suggests that the risk of trochanteric fractures could be discriminated based on a BMD T-score <-2.5 criterion, whereas cervical fracture cases would remain under-diagnosed if solely using this criterion. Instead, geometrical risk factors are able to discriminate cervical fracture cases even among individuals with T-score >-2.5. For cervical and trochanteric fractures combined, BMD and geometric measures independently contributed to hip fracture discrimination. Our data support changing from T-score <-2.5 to a more comprehensive assessment of hip fracture etiology, in which fracture type is also taken into account. The findings need to be confirmed with a larger sample, preferably in a prospective study.