Abstract

Some patients with severe asthma experience exacerbations despite receiving multiple therapy. The risk of exacerbation and heterogeneous response to treatment may be associated with specific inflammatory molecules that are responsive or resistant to corticosteroids. We aimed to identify the independent factors predictive for the future risk of exacerbation in patients with severe asthma. In this multi-center prospective observational study, 132 patients with severe asthma were enrolled and divided into exacerbation (n = 52) and non-exacerbation (n = 80) groups on the basis of exacerbation rate after a 1-year follow-up period. We found that previous history of severe-to-serious exacerbation, baseline blood eosinophil counts (≥ 291cells/μL), and serum tryptase (≤ 1448 pg/mL) and thrymic stromal lymphopoietin (TSLP) levels (≥ 25 pg/mL) independently predicted the future development of exacerbation with adjusted odds ratios (AOR) of 3.27, 6.04, 2.53 and 8.67, respectively. Notably, the patients with high blood eosinophil counts and low tryptase levels were likely to have more exacerbations than those with low blood eosinophil counts and high tryptase levels (AOR 16.9). TSLP potentially played the pathogenic role across different asthma phenotypes. TSLP and tryptase levels may be implicated in steroid resistance and responsiveness in the asthma inflammatory process. High blood eosinophil counts and low serum tryptase levels predict a high probability of future asthma exacerbation.

Highlights

  • Some patients with severe asthma experience exacerbations despite receiving multiple therapy

  • Our study proposed that the combined biomarkers of serum thrymic stromal lymphopoietin (TSLP) and tryptase levels, and blood eosinophil count may be linked to distinct inflammatory mechanisms in asthma and be useful to predict the future risk of asthma exacerbation

  • We found that TSLP per se is an independent factor for predicting future risk of asthma exacerbation, and serum TSLP levels ≥ 25 pg/mL are associated with a high probability of asthma exacerbation (AOR = 8.19)

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Summary

Introduction

Some patients with severe asthma experience exacerbations despite receiving multiple therapy. We aimed to identify the independent factors predictive for the future risk of exacerbation in patients with severe asthma. We found that previous history of severe-to-serious exacerbation, baseline blood eosinophil counts (≥ 291cells/μL), and serum tryptase (≤ 1448 pg/mL) and thrymic stromal lymphopoietin (TSLP) levels (≥ 25 pg/mL) independently predicted the future development of exacerbation with adjusted odds ratios (AOR) of 3.27, 6.04, 2.53 and 8.67, respectively. Endotype-related molecular/cellular biomarkers may be associated with the responsiveness to corticosteroids and could be applied to predict the future risk of exacerbation in patients with severe a­ sthma[9, 10]. On the basis of these pieces of evidence, we hypothesized that clinical characteristics and inflammatory biomarkers may simultaneously affect patient outcomes and are independently associated with the future risk of exacerbation in patients with severe asthma

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