Blood neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is associated with prognosis in advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors treated with imatinib.

Abstract

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was shown to be prognostic in several solid malignancies. There are limited data about predictive/prognostic value of NLR during targeted therapy of patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST). The aim of this study was to asses a clinical value of this ratio in patients with advanced GIST. Between 2001 and 2016, 385 patients with metastatic/unresectable GIST treated initially with imatinib were included in the analysis. In all patients, the NLR was assessed at the baseline, after 3 months of treatment, and upon disease progression (or last observation). The cutoff values for NLR were set at 2.7 and 5.4. Kaplan-Meier survival probability estimation with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model were used for analysis. Median progression-free survival (PFS) on imatinib treatment was 44.8 months, 5-year rate 43%; median overall survival (OS) 87.2 months, 10-year rate 36.3%. NLR >2.7 at baseline was significantly associated with poorer OS and PFS: median OS was 89.3 months (95% confidence interval [CI] 80.2-115) for NLR ratio ≤2.7 vs 59.4 months (95% CI 48.6-82) for NLR >2.7 (p < .001); median PFS was 59.4 vs 32.7 (p < .001), respectively. In multivariate model adjusted for mitotic index and driver mutation in the tumor (KIT exon 11 mutation versus other), NLR ratio was proven to be statistically significant (hazard ratio 1.09; 95% CI 1.01-1.19; p = .030). Among patients with disease progression, NLR >2.7 assessed at the third month of treatment was linked with significantly shorter median time to progression (7.5 vs 19 months). Our results demonstrate the usefulness of NLR as a prognostic and predictive marker as well as a marker for treatment monitoring in patients with advanced GIST treated with imatinib.