Abstract

The social synergetic analysis of the biosphere and humanity shows that in near future two attractors (human paths) will really compete: the first is an irreversible biosphere catastrophe and the second is a motion along the vector ‘Hydrogen energy → Hydrogen economy → Hydrogen civilization’. In accordance with the basic assumption of the social synergetics about a fundamental possibility of the mankind conscious choice of its own post-bifurcation path to the future, the analysis based on Kondratieff's study about large cycles of the economic development leads to the fundamental conclusion: two historical stages of Hydrogen Civilization will correspond to Kondratieff's sixth (∼2030–2090) and seventh (∼2090–2150) hydrogen energy technological cycles with a probability up to 100%.

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