Abstract

ObjectivesTo develop predictive nomograms based on clinical and ultrasound features and to improve the clinical strategy for US BI-RADS 4A lesions. MethodsPatients with US BI-RADS 4A lesions from 3 hospitals between January 2016 and June 2020 were retrospectively included. Clinical and ultrasound features were extracted to establish nomograms CE (based on clinical experience) and DL (based on deep-learning algorithm). The performances of nomograms were evaluated by receiver operator characteristic curves, calibration curves and decision curves. Diagnostic performances with DL of radiologists were analyzed. Results1616 patients from 2 hospitals were randomly divided into training and internal validation cohorts at a ratio of 7:3. Hundred patients from another hospital made up external validation cohort. DL achieved more optimized AUCs than CE (internal validation: 0.916 vs. 0.863, P < .01; external validation: 0.884 vs. 0.776, P = .05). The sensitivities of DL were higher than CE (internal validation: 81.03% vs. 72.41%, P = .044; external validation: 93.75% vs. 81.25%, P = .4795) without losing specificity (internal validation: 84.91% vs. 86.47%, P = .353; external validation: 69.14% vs. 71.60%, P = .789). Decision curves indicated DL adds more clinical net benefit. With DL's assistance, both radiologists achieved higher AUCs (0.712 vs. 0.801; 0.547 vs. 0.800), improved specificities (70.93% vs. 74.42%, P < .001; 59.3% vs. 81.4%, P = .004), and decreased unnecessary biopsy rates by 6.7% and 24%. ConclusionDL was developed to discriminate US BI-RADS 4A lesions with a higher diagnostic power and more clinical net benefit than CE. Using DL may guide clinicians to make precise clinical decisions and avoid overtreatment of benign lesions.

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