Abstract
ABSTRACT This study uses a binary logistic regression analysis to measure the performance of Shanghai Composite Index. This paper reports that China's real estate development measured by China's Real Estate Climate Index (CRECI) data from January 2000 to March 2012 is negatively related to stock performance of Shanghai Composite Index. Like in other countries, the interest rate, the overall financing cost to customers and business firms, is negatively related to overall stock performance of Shanghai Composite Index. China’s Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and China's Consumer Price Index (CPI) are positively related to overall stock performance of Shanghai Composite Index. Keywords Logistic Regression, Shanghai Composite Index, Real Estate, Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Interest Rate, Stock Market
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