Abstract

The vicinity of the on-ramp and off-ramp in the freeway road may experience high collisions in time-varying situations. The binary decision (lane changing and lane keeping) is required in the Discretionary Lane Changing (DLC) by analysing the time-impact factors. In this research, the time-effect factors are used for the binary decision in the DLC, and the cumulative probability distribution functions of these factors are used to demonstrate the influence on the lane changing. The odd ratios of the binary logit model also show that the probability increases or decreases by increasing time of some factors. The accuracy of the decision-making model is 84% by using the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) data. This model shall apply to the decision of the DLC for the next generation of autonomous vehicles on the freeway road.

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