Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic that began in the city of Wuhan in China has caused a huge number of deaths worldwide. Countries have introduced spatial restrictions on movement and social distancing in response to the rapid rate of SARS-Cov-2 transmission among its populations. Research originality lies in the taken global perspective revealing indication of significant relationships between changes in mobility and the number of Covid-19 cases. The study uncovers a time offset between the two applied databases, Google Mobility and John Hopkins University, influencing correlations between mobility and pandemic development. Analyses reveals a link between the introduction of lockdown and the number of new Covid-19 cases. Types of mobility with the most significant impact on the development of the pandemic are “retail and recreation areas", "transit stations", "workplaces" "groceries and pharmacies”. The difference in the correlation between the lockdown introduced and the number of SARS-COV-2 cases is 81%, when using a 14-day weighted average compared to the 7-day average. Moreover, the study reveals a strong geographical diversity in human mobility and its impact on the number of new Covid-19 cases.

Highlights

  • Since the first case of SARS-Cov-2 infection was detected and confirmed in China, there has been a huge increase in the number of confirmed cases worldwide

  • We showed the average square of correlation and the average weighted by the population size

  • Our research has revealed that it is more relevant to look for a relationship between human mobility and Covid-19 transmission adopting a 14-day moving average

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Summary

Introduction

Since the first case of SARS-Cov-2 infection was detected and confirmed in China, there has been a huge increase in the number of confirmed cases worldwide. As of March 20, 2021, there were 121,759,000 confirmed cases worldwide, including 2,690,731 deaths, according to data of World Health Organization (WHO). Despite the efforts of various international and national organizations, including pandemic governments, medical services, medical laboratories, universities and research centers, so far it has proved impossible to significantly limit the increase of Covid-19 cases. For this reason, understanding the existing relationship between the spread of the virus and the mobility of people is crucial to mitigate the global negative effects of the pandemic from the perspective of society and the world economy

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