Abstract

The use of predator–prey models in theoretical ecology has a long history, and the model equations have largely evolved since the original Lotka–Volterra system towards more realistic descriptions of the processes of predation, reproduction and mortality. One important aspect is the recognition of the fact that the growth of a population can be subject to an Allee effect, where the per capita growth rate increases with the population density. Including an Allee effect has been shown to fundamentally change predator–prey dynamics and strongly impact species persistence, but previous studies mostly focused on scenarios of an Allee effect in the prey population. Here we explore a predator–prey model with an ecologically important case of the Allee effect in the predator population where it occurs in the numerical response of predator without affecting its functional response. Biologically, this can result from various scenarios such as a lack of mating partners, sperm limitation and cooperative breeding mechanisms, among others. Unlike previous studies, we consider here a generic mathematical formulation of the Allee effect without specifying a concrete parameterisation of the functional form, and analyse the possible local bifurcations in the system. Further, we explore the global bifurcation structure of the model and its possible dynamical regimes for three different concrete parameterisations of the Allee effect. The model possesses a complex bifurcation structure: there can be multiple coexistence states including two stable limit cycles. Inclusion of the Allee effect in the predator generally has a destabilising effect on the coexistence equilibrium. We also show that regardless of the parametrisation of the Allee effect, enrichment of the environment will eventually result in extinction of the predator population.

Highlights

  • Modelling predator–prey interactions has always been a mainstream area in mathematical biology and theoretical ecology

  • The weak Allee effect describes situations in which the per capita growth rate is increasing at small densities, but which remains positive for low, nonzero population densities, while a strong Allee effect is characterized by a negative population growth at low densities since reproduction cannot compensate mortality rate

  • It has been demonstrated that including the Allee effect in predator–prey models has a strong impact on dynamics, in particular promoting population collapse and a further species extinction (Boukal et al 2007; Hilker 2010; Lewis and Kareiva 1993; Morozov et al 2006; Sen et al 2012)

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Summary

Introduction

Modelling predator–prey interactions has always been a mainstream area in mathematical biology and theoretical ecology. The existing literature on the Allee effect in predators is scarce, and mainly focused on foraging facilitation among predators which occurs as a result of cooperative hunting (Alves and Hilker 2017; Berec 2010; Cosner et al 1999; Sen et al 2019) This implies that the functional response of the predator is an increasing function of the predator density. Some studies have considered the Allee effect in predators due to non-foraging mechanisms, but none of them have been studied exhaustively in terms of the bifurcation structure, possible dynamical regimes and the role of parameterisations of the Allee effect in the model equations (Costa and dos Anjos 2018; Zhou et al 2005) The latter problem may be a general issue in ecological modelling and is related to so-called structural sensitivity, which is briefly described below.

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Model formulation and biological rationale
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Possible equilibria in the system
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Stability of equilibria
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Saddle-node bifurcation
Hopf bifurcation
Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation
Parametric diagrams and phase portraits
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Structural sensitivity of the model
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Discussion
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