Beyond the Descriptive: A Comprehensive, Multidomain Validation of Symptom Trajectories for Individuals at Clinical High Risk for Psychosis

Abstract

BackgroundAlthough the clinical high risk for psychosis (CHR-P) criteria are widely used to ascertain individuals at heightened risk for imminent onset of psychosis, it remains controversial whether CHR-P status defines a diagnostic construct in its own right. In a previous study, CHR-P nonconverters were observed to follow 3 distinct trajectories in symptoms and functioning: remission, partial remission, and maintenance of symptoms and functional impairments at subthreshold levels of intensity. MethodsHere, we utilized the NAPLS3 (North American Prodrome Longitudinal Study phase 3) sample (N = 806) to determine whether 1) the same trajectory groups can be detected when assessing symptoms at 2-month intervals over an 8-month period and 2) the resulting trajectory groups differ from each other and from healthy control participants and converting CHR-P cases in terms of risk factors, comorbidities, and functional outcomes. ResultsThree distinctive subgroups within the CHR nonconverters were identified, largely paralleling those observed previously. Importantly, these extracted groups, together with non-CHR control participants and CHR converters, differed from each other significantly on putative etiological risk factors (e.g., predicted risk scores, physiological and self-report measures of stress), affective comorbidities, and functional outcomes, thus providing converging evidence supporting the validity of the identified trajectory groups. ConclusionsThis pattern, together with the fact that even the subgroup of CHR-P nonconverters who showed a remission trajectory deviated from healthy control participants, supports treating the CHR-P syndrome not only as a status that denotes risk for onset of full psychosis but also as a marker of ongoing distress for a population that is in need of interventions.