Beyond bioclimatic envelopes: dynamic species' range and abundance modelling in the context of climatic change

Brian Huntley,Bernard W T Coetzee,Guy F Midgley,Stephen G Willis,Res Altwegg,Phoebe Barnard,Les G Underhill,Philip A R Hockey,Lynda Chambers,David G Hole,Lesley Gibson

doi:10.1111/j.1600-0587.2009.06023.x

Abstract

B. Huntley (brian.huntley@durham.ac.uk), D. G. Hole and S. G. Willis, Ecosystem Science Centre, School of Biological and Biomedical Sciences, Durham Univ., South Road, Durham DH1 3LE, UK. P. Barnard, Birds & Environmental Change Partnership, Climate Change and BioAdaptation Div., South African National Biodiversity Inst., Kirstenbosch Research Centre, P/Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Cape Town, South Africa, and Percy FitzPatrick Inst. of African Ornithology, DST/NRF Centre of Excellence, Univ. of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa. R. Altwegg, Birds & Environmental Change Partnership, Climate Change and BioAdaptation Div., South African National Biodiversity Inst., Kirstenbosch Research Centre, P/Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Cape Town, South Africa, and Animal Demography Unit, Dept of Zoology, Univ. of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa. L. Chambers, Centre for Australian Weather & Climate Research Bureau of Meteorology, GPO Box 1289, Melbourne, Victoria 3001, Australia. B. W. T. Coetzee, Birds & Environmental Change Partnership, Climate Change and BioAdaptation Div., South African National Biodiversity Inst., Kirstenbosch Research Centre, P/Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Cape Town, South Africa, and Centre for Invasion Biology, Dept of Botany and Zoology, Stellenbosch Univ., Private Bag X1, Matieland 7602, South Africa. L. Gibson, Dept of Environment & Conservation, PO Box 51, Wanneroo WA 6946, Australia. P. A. R. Hockey, Percy FitzPatrick Inst. of African Ornithology, DST/NRF Centre of Excellence, Univ. of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa. G. F. Midgley, Birds & Environmental Change Partnership, Climate Change and BioAdaptation Div., South African National Biodiversity Inst., Kirstenbosch Research Centre, P/Bag X7, Claremont 7735, Cape Town, South Africa. L. G. Underhill, Animal Demography Unit, Dept of Zoology, Univ. of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7701, Cape Town, South Africa.

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