Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has uncovered the foremost struggles of the twenty first century: social-economic inequality, global value chains, national security, and the environmental crisis. None of these seems novel, as many staged fiction dystopias have been predicting and warning mankind about the negative impacts of unsustainable consumption behaviors by displaying scenarios of exponential human population and economy growth. Several scientific tools for assessing sustainability have been developed to cover social, economic, and environmental aspects, however, most of them are simply used either separately or without a solid conceptual model supporting an epistemological construct to allow for deeper and scientific-based discussions on sustainability. This work presents a perspective about possible scenarios of the world's sustainability, based on a straightforward integrated framework for its quantification. The three capitals of sustainability, summarized as environmental sustainability, productivity and happiness are combined, based on the input-state-output model, and further plotted on a 3-axis graph. Eight different combinations of the three capitals show eight potential future worlds. The least desirable scenario, named “Ineffective,” depicts an environmentally unsustainable, unhappy and poor world, whereas “Paradise” is the utopia to be pursued: happy, environmentally sustainable and productive. Societies' decisions on taking action after quantitatively measuring and monitoring sustainability will be determinant in placing the world on a more developed and sustainable path, and the model proposed in this work can be useful in promoting discussions in this direction.

Highlights

  • The main wounds of the twenty first century have been brought to light by the Covid-19 pandemic, as a result from man’s inability to sustain the man-nature nexus

  • From the displayed scenarios of exponential human population growth, an overcrowded world is foreseeable, where the overshoot on Earth‘s biocapacity (Wackernagel et al, 1999), the resulting lack of natural resources, along with the absence of minimum healthy-life standards for the entire population would lead to global wars, dictatorships, epidemics, starvation, climate disasters, and mass extinction

  • Recognizing that the “Emperor has no clothes” is overdue, and establishing a new paradigm on production and consumption patterns is urgently needed, so a sustainable world is achieved. To be efficient, such action must be taken under a scientific lens, to support discussions and feed decision makers with strong and accurate indicators instead of guesses and desires

Read more

Summary

Introduction

The main wounds of the twenty first century have been brought to light by the Covid-19 pandemic, as a result from man’s inability to sustain the man-nature nexus. A perspective on the alternatives for the world’s sustainable future is provided and a novel way to understand, model, and quantify the human-nature nexus is presented.

Results
Conclusion
Full Text
Published version (Free)

Talk to us

Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have

Schedule a call