Abstract

Abstract. Short-term and decadal sea-ice prediction systems need a realistic initial state, generally obtained using ice–ocean model simulations with data assimilation. However, only sea-ice concentration and velocity data are currently assimilated. In this work, an ensemble Kalman filter system is used to assimilate observed ice concentration and freeboard (i.e. thickness of emerged) data into a global coupled ocean–sea-ice model. The impact and effectiveness of our data assimilation system is assessed in two steps: firstly, through the use of synthetic data (i.e. model-generated data), and secondly, through the assimilation of real satellite data. While ice concentrations are available daily, freeboard data used in this study are only available during six one-month periods spread over 2005–2007. Our results show that the simulated Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice extents are improved by the assimilation of synthetic ice concentration data. Assimilation of synthetic ice freeboard data improves the simulated sea-ice thickness field. Using real ice concentration data enhances the model realism in both hemispheres. Assimilation of ice concentration data significantly improves the total hemispheric sea-ice extent all year long, especially in summer. Combining the assimilation of ice freeboard and concentration data leads to better ice thickness, but does not further improve the ice extent. Moreover, the improvements in sea-ice thickness due to the assimilation of ice freeboard remain visible well beyond the assimilation periods.

Highlights

  • Even though sea-ice is an important component of the global climate system, it has been observed only rather recently

  • Ice fraction (IC) exhibits a sea-ice extent that is closer to synthetic observations than FREE in Northern Hemisphere (NH) as well as in Southern Hemisphere (SH)

  • The root mean squared error (RMSE) of sea-ice volume decreases in IC by 66 % in NH and by 88 % in SH compared to FREE

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Summary

Introduction

Even though sea-ice is an important component of the global climate system, it has been observed only rather recently. Ice thickness observations are much sparser, hampering a proper estimate of the ice volume. They stemmed only from upward-looking sonar by submarines in the Arctic (Rothrock et al, 2008) and ship-based visual observations in the Southern Ocean (Worby et al, 2008). The launch of the Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite (ICESat) in 2003 with laser altimeter system was a valuable addition to the previous sea-ice observing capabilities. This satellite has shown potential for estimating ice freeboard, which may, when combined with snow depth estimates, be used to retrieve sea-ice thickness (Kwok and Cunningham, 2008) in the Arctic.

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