Bernstein–Frechet inequalities for the parameter of the first order autoregressive process

Abstract

The autoregressive process takes an important part in predicting problems leading to decision making. In practice, we use the least squares method to estimate the parameter of the autoregressive process. In the case of the first order autoregressive process, we know that the least squares estimator converges in probability to the unknown parameter θ. In this Note, we show that the least squares estimator converges almost completely to θ and so we construct the inequalities of type Bernstein–Frechet for the coefficient of the first order autoregressive process. Using these inequalities a confidence interval is then obtained. To cite this article: A. Dahmani, M. Tari, C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris, Ser. I 340 (2005).