Abstract

Global forest assessments use forest area as an indicator of biodiversity status, which may mask below-canopy pressures driving forest biodiversity loss and ‘empty forest’ syndrome. The status of forest biodiversity is important not only for species conservation but also because species loss can have consequences for forest health and carbon storage. We aimed to develop a global indicator of forest specialist vertebrate populations to improve assessments of forest biodiversity status. Using the Living Planet Index methodology, we developed a weighted composite Forest Specialist Index for the period 1970–2014. We then investigated potential correlates of forest vertebrate population change. We analysed the relationship between the average rate of change of forest vertebrate populations and satellite-derived tree cover trends, as well as other pressures. On average, forest vertebrate populations declined by 53% between 1970 and 2014. We found little evidence of a consistent global effect of tree cover change on forest vertebrate populations, but a significant negative effect of exploitation threat on forest specialists. In conclusion, we found that the forest area is a poor indicator of forest biodiversity status. For forest biodiversity to recover, conservation management needs to be informed by monitoring all threats to vertebrates, including those below the canopy.

Highlights

  • As we arrive at the 2020 expiration of the Aichi Biodiversity Targets under the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), the continuing loss of biodiversity remains a seemingly intractable environmental challenge [1] with grave implications for human wellbeing and the supply of valuable ecosystem services [2]

  • Most clearance was of temperate forests [5], leading to observed species extinctions [6], while in the last decades, the main deforestation frontiers and risks to biodiversity have been in the tropics [7,8]

  • This represents a loss of important resources and habitat for humanity as well as biodiversity, with far-reaching implications for the climate system [14] and global carbon cycle [15,16]

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Summary

Introduction

As we arrive at the 2020 expiration of the Aichi Biodiversity Targets under the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), the continuing loss of biodiversity remains a seemingly intractable environmental challenge [1] with grave implications for human wellbeing and the supply of valuable ecosystem services [2]. This represents a loss of important resources and habitat for humanity (between 1.2 and 1.5 billion people are directly dependent on ecosystem services provided by tropical forests [13]) as well as biodiversity, with far-reaching implications for the climate system [14] and global carbon cycle [15,16]. Owing to the importance of forests as habitat for many species, forest area is often employed as an indicator in global agreements and processes aimed at slowing and reversing the decline of biodiversity. While habitat loss is the major driver of forest biodiversity loss, a focus on forest area alone risks masking other pressures on forest vertebrates that can operate below the canopy in conjunction with or independently of forest cover change. (1) Forest vertebrates are in decline worldwide. (2) Forest vertebrate population change is positively correlated to tree cover change

Methods
Results
Discussion
49. Weiss DJ et al 2018 A global map of travel time to
Findings
54. Oaks JL et al 2004 Diclofenac residues as the cause
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