BELARUSIAN FORK: RESULTS OF POST-SOVIET SOCIO-ECONOMIC EVOLUTION AND SCENARIO OPTIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF THE REPUBLIC OF BELARUS

Abstract

The current socio-political upheavals, which are fraught with undermining the Belarusian statehood, may also torpedo the planned transition to the implementation of the strategy of advanced development of the Republic of Belarus based on increasing cooperation between Belarusian economic entities and Russian ones on the legal basis of the Union state of Russia and Belarus (USRB) and the Eurasian economic Union (EAEU). Summing up the socio-economic evolution of post-Soviet Belarus, which is impressive against the background of the corresponding results of other ex-Soviet republics, the author of the article connects these successes with the capacity of the Belarusian management system, which has already mastered a number of institutions of a new (integral) world economic structure, including strategic indicative macroeconomic planning. However, this in itself does not save from socio-political upheavals of various forms, strength and scale. The Republic of Belarus, like other members of the EAEU, needs to harmonize the interests of various social groups and consolidate society based on the state policy of increasing public welfare. Based on these principles, developed in numerous previous publications of the author, he makes recommendations for coping with the growing socio-political and socio-economic crises, as well as builds options for future economic development, depending primarily on the vector of the upcoming integration construction — Eurasian or European — that the Belarusian people will choose. Keywords: the Republic of Belarus (RB), Belarus, the Union State of Russia and Belarus (USRB), the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), the Eurasian Economic Commission, Eurasian economic integration, European economic integration, European Union (EU), cooperative interaction of economic entities, technological structure, new (sixth) technological structure, world economic structure, new (integrated) economic structure, strategy of advancing economic development, economic growth, convergent technology, the Republic of Ukraine (RU).