Abstract

The reforms of the beef sector that resulted from Agenda 2000 are the most comprehensive for any commodity. Price support is reduced and the drop in revenue from the market is compensated by an increase in direct payments. In this paper, two integrated modelling approaches are used to produce projections for the sector that incorporate both agricultural policy changes and the evolving macroeconomic environment using the example of Ireland. It is projected that these changes will result in a restructuring of the beef sector in Ireland, which will have consequences for both farming, and related industries, and therefore for rural development as a whole.

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