Abstract
BackgroundFood insecurity is a situation in which access to sufficient food is limited at times during the year by a lack of money and other resources. Even though several efforts were made to recover food security, still it is a critical social problem that needs immediate attention from policy and other decision makers especially in Ethiopia. The objective of the paper was to identify the significant predictors of food insecurity at household level in the given District.MethodA cross-sectional survey study was employed among 305 households selected using systematic random sampling technique. The data was collected using structured interviewer administrative questionnaire. Descriptive statistics was used to assess the prevalence of food insecurity status, and Bayesian estimation on binary logistic regression was used to identify the significant predictors of household food insecurity. Gibbs sampler algorithm was employed on Win BUGS software. Convergence of algorithm was assessed by using time series plot, density plot and auto correlation plot.ResultThe prevalence of household food insecurity was 59% in the study District. From Bayesian estimation, the significant predictors of food insecurity were sex of household head, agro-ecological zone, loan status, access to agricultural training, age of household head, marital status of household head, family size, agricultural land size, tropical livestock unit, and soil fertility of agricultural land.ConclusionThe result shows that the households headed by male; who had own land, who land fertile soil, and those who took agricultural training were less likely to be food insecure. On the other hand, households with large family size, small farm land size and less tropical livestock unit were more likely to be food insecure. Hence, to increase food production and productivity of the farmers, proper attention should be given to improve soil fertility of agricultural land. Creating access to credit to households and providing them with agricultural training and family planning should be also emphasized.
Highlights
Food insecurity is a situation in which access to sufficient food is limited at times during the year by a lack of money and other resources
The result shows that the households headed by male; who had own land, who land fertile soil, and those who took agricultural training were less likely to be food insecure
Descriptive statistics was used to assess the prevalence of food insecurity and Bayesian logistic regression analysis was employed to identify the significant predictors of food insecurity at a household level
Summary
Food insecurity is a situation in which access to sufficient food is limited at times during the year by a lack of money and other resources. Food insecurity is a situation in which access to sufficient food is limited at times during the year because of lack of money and other resources It is social as well as economic problem, lack of food due to resource or other constraints, not voluntary fasting, or because of illness, or for other reasons [1, 2]. Food insecurity exists whenever there is limited or uncertain availability of nutritionally adequate and safe food or limited or uncertain ability to acquire acceptable food in socially acceptable ways [3, 4] It combines low food intake, variable access to food, and vulnerability for a livelihood strategy that generates adequate food in good times but is not resilient against shocks [5]. Sub-Saharan Africa was hard hit by the global food crisis, due to short-term and long-term factors [7]
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