Bayesian Model Selection for Nonlinear Regression under Noninformative Prior

Abstract

We propose a Bayesian model selection procedure for nonlinear regression models under noninformative prior. For informative prior, Na and Kim (2002) suggested the Bayesian model selection procedure through MCMC techniques. We extend this method to the case of noninformative prior. The difficulty with the use of noninformative prior is that it is typically improper and hence is defined only up to arbitrary constant. The methods, such as Intrinsic Bayes Factor(IBF) and Fractional Bayes Factor(FBF), are used as a resolution to the problem. We showed the detailed model selection procedure through the specific real data set.