Bayesian filtering based on solving the Fokker-Planck equation

Abstract

PurposeThis paper aims to propose Bayesian filtering based on solving the Fokker–Planck equation, to improve the accuracy of filtering in non-Gauss case. Nonlinear filtering plays an important role in many science and engineering fields for estimating the state of dynamic system, but the existing filtering algorithms are mainly used for solving the problem of Gauss system.Design/methodology/approachUnder the Bayesian framework, the time update of this filtering is based on solving Fokker–Planck equation, while the measurement update uses the Bayes formula directly. Therefore, this novel algorithm can be applied to nonlinear, non-Gaussian estimation. To reduce the computational complexity due to standard meshing, an adaptive meshing algorithm proposed which includes the coarse meshing, significant domain determination that is generated using extended Kalman filtering and Chebyshev’s inequality theorem, and value assignment for significant domain. Simulations are conducted on a reentry body tracking problem to demonstrate the effectiveness of this novel algorithm.FindingsIn this way, finer grid points can be placed in the regions with high conditional probability density, while the grid points with low conditional probability density can be neglected. The simulation results indicate that the novel algorithm can reduce the computational burden significantly compared to the standard meshing, while achieving similar accuracy.Practical implicationsA novel Bayesian filtering based on solving the Fokker–Planck equation using adaptive meshing is proposed, and the simulations show that algorithm can reduce the computational burden significantly compared to the standard meshing, while achieving similar accuracy.Originality/valueA novel nonlinear filtering based on solving the Fokker–Planck equation is proposed. The novel algorithm is suitable for non-Gauss system, and can achieve similar accuracy compared to the standard meshing with the significant reduction of computational burden.