Bayesian Analysis of Linear and Non-Linear Population Models by Using the Gibbs Sampler

Abstract

Abstract : A fully Bayesian analysis of linear and nonlinear population models has previously been unavailable, as a consequence of the seeming impossibility of performing the necessary numerical Integrations in the complex multi- parameter structures typically arising in such models. It is demonstrated that, for a variety of linear and nonlinear population models, a fully Bayesian analysis can be implemented in a straightforward manner using the Gibbs sampler. The approach is illustrated with examples involving challenging problems of outliers and mean-variance relationships in population modelling.