Abstract

The transport sector needs to be decarbonized drastically to meet the goal of the Paris Agreement. Yet, we see a trend towards heavier and larger cars in new car registrations, leading to higher greenhouse gas emissions. By conducting a choice experiment with 859 Swiss households, we estimate the probability of conventional car owners to switch to owning a small BEV for everyday trips in combination with either public transport or carsharing/car-rental for the occasional long-range trips. Through binary logistic regression, we test several variables related to socio-demographics, mobility characteristics, attitudes and values in increasing the odds to switch to one of the alternatives. We provide relevant guidance to policy makers and transport planners in increasing the uptake of small BEVs in combination with mobility services in order to counter the trend towards large cars.

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