Battery SOH estimation and RUL prediction framework based on variable forgetting factor online sequential extreme learning machine and particle filter

Abstract

Battery life prediction is of great practical significance to ensure the safety and reliability of equipment. This paper proposes a new framework to realize battery state of health (SOH) estimation and remaining useful life (RUL) prediction. The variable forgetting factor online sequential extreme learning machine (VFOS-ELM) is used to estimate battery SOH, and particle filter (PF) algorithm used to predict battery RUL. To improve the estimation accuracy, a new nonlinear decline method, adaptive weight and Gaussian variation are used to improve the standard whale optimization algorithm (WOA) algorithm. And the improved IWOA algorithm is used for parameter optimization of the VFOS-ELM and PF algorithm. The extremely randomized trees (ERT) algorithm is used to obtain the features with high correlation with the available capacity to reduce the complexity of the model and improve the estimation accuracy. Compared with other methods, the proposed IWOA-VFOS-ELM algorithm has higher estimation performance and noise anti-interference ability. The MAE of APR-3 and APR-4 for SOH estimation are both within 0.12 %, RMSE are within 0.15 %, and IA are both higher than 99.9 %. Compared with PF algorithm, the RUL prediction accuracy obtained by IWOA-PF algorithm is improved by 7.143 %, 6.445 % and 15.094, respectively. In summary, the IWOA-PF algorithm proposed in this paper can be used to predict the battery RUL, and the prediction performance is better than the PF algorithm.