Abstract

Predicting short-term relapses and long-term prognosis is of utmost importance in paediatric inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Our aim was to investigate the short-term disease outcome and medication during the first year in a paediatric incident cohort from Hungary. In addition, association laboratory markers and disease activity indices with short-term disease outcome and medication were analysed. From January 1, 2008 to December 31, 2010, demographic data and clinical characteristics of newly diagnosed paediatric patients with IBD < 18 years of age were prospectively recorded. A total of 420 patients were identified (Crohn disease [CD] 266 and ulcerative colitis [UC] 124). Initially, 48% (124/256) of the patients with CD had moderate-to-severe disease (Pediatric Crohn's Disease Activity Index [PCDAI] > 31), and this rate decreased to 2.1% at 1-year follow-up. Proportion of patients with UC with moderate-to-severe disease (Pediatric Ulcerative Colitis Activity Index > 35) at diagnosis declined from 57.5% (69/120) to 6.8% at 1-year follow-up. Terminal ileal involvement correlated with higher initial C-reactive protein (CRP) (P = 0.021) and initial PCDAI (P = 0.026). In UC, elevated CRP (P = 0.002) was associated with disease extension. CRP and PCDAI at diagnosis were associated with the need for immunomodulators at 1 year in children with CD. Initial CRP was also associated with the need for immunomodulators in patients with UC at 1-year follow-up. At diagnosis, half of the patients with IBD had moderate-to-severe disease, and this rate decreased to <10% after 1 year. Initial CRP and PCDAI were related to the need for aggressive therapy in CD.

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