Baseline and recurrence levels of soluble HER2 (sHER2) in early-stage HER2-neu positive breast cancer (HER2+BC) from the NCCTG adjuvant Intergroup trial N9831

Abstract

539 Background: An increased baseline sHER-2 concentration is an indicator of poor prognosis in the metastatic and adjuvant settings of HER-2+BC. This study evaluated the levels of sHER-2 during treatment and at time of recurrence in N9831. Methods: Aims were to describe sHER-2 levels during treatment and at time of recurrence in patients (pts) randomized to Arms A (standard chemotherapy) and C (standard chemotherapy with concurrent trastuzumab). Baseline serum samples of 1506 pts from both arms along with 86 recurrence serum samples were analyzed for sHER-2 (ng/mL). In addition, 556 serial samples were obtained in 148 patients over the treatment period. Median follow up was 4.5 years. Statistical methods included repeated measures linear models, Wilcoxon rank sum tests, and Cox regression models. Results: Analyzing serial sHER-2 levels during treatment, mean log sHER-2 remained constant in Arm C (estimated slope = 0.004, p = 0.44) while the estimated increase per month was 0.026 (on log e scale) for Arm A (p = 0.0003). Based on the linear model at 18 months, the mean log sHER-2 was 2.98 (95% CI: 2.87–3.09) and 2.55 (95% CI: 2.40–2.70) for Arms A and C, respectively. Among pts with disease recurrence, sHER-2 levels increased in Arm A from baseline to time of recurrence (mean = 72.9, median = 1.7, p =0.005) while sHER-2 levels remained unchanged in Arm C (mean = 9.2, median = -0.9, p = 0.65). While all 86 recurrence patients had baseline sHER2 levels <50, 24% (15/63) of Arm A patients had very high recurrence sHER-2 levels (≥50) as compared to 9% (2/23) on Arm C (p=0.10). Patients with recurrence sHER-2 levels ≥15 had shorter survival time following recurrence with 3 year overall survival of 51% compared to 76% for the <15 sHER-2 group (HR = 2.77; 95% CI: 1.20–6.43, p = 0.02). Conclusions: Based on serial specimens during treatment, the concurrent trastuzumab arm (C) had constant sHER-2 levels, whereas the standard chemotherapy arm (A) had increasing sHER-2 levels. In arm A, recurrence sHER-2 levels increased significantly from baseline while recurrence sHER-2 levels did not change in arm C. Additionally, pts with high sHER-2 levels at recurrence had shorter overall survival following recurrence. Partial support: CA25224, CA114740 , Genentech, Siemens, and the BCRF. [Table: see text]