Based on the Force Deployment Model of Unascertained Expectation

Jianli Chen

doi:10.19026/rjaset.5.4337

Abstract

In this study, we utilize the unascertained mathematics method to give the unascertained number of countermeasure of anti-terrorism strategic force deployment and unknown event. It has been defined the situation sets of force deployment, condition density and mathematical expectation of density model. It has been given the unascertained parameters Cij which decide and direct the force deployment. Find out the condition density matrix of force deployment; further get the conditional density of single target force deployment, using the maximum density mathematical expectation in order to get the optimal mathematical

Highlights

The problem of forces ‘deployment is a fundamental problem in military decision-making, in the past decision we can usually meet optimal result in a positive background and a result in stochastic condition .the practical anti-terrorism strategic forces’ deployment problem is usually anfractuosity., because it’s not a doubtless problem but not a Stochastic Process
We utilize the unascertained mathematics method to give the unascertained number of countermeasure of anti-terrorism strategic force deployment and unknown event
The model overcomes the limitation of past deterministic thinking method which study the force deployment and provide the decision maker a relative substantial theory evidence

Summary

INTRODUCTION

The problem of forces ‘deployment is a fundamental problem in military decision-making, in the past decision we can usually meet optimal result in a positive background and a result in stochastic condition .the practical anti-terrorism strategic forces’ deployment problem is usually anfractuosity., because it’s not a doubtless problem but not a Stochastic Process. We utilize the unascertained mathematics method to give the unascertained number of countermeasure of anti-terrorism strategic force deployment and unknown event It has been defined the situation sets of force deployment, condition density and mathematical expectation of density model. Make Sij = (Ai, Bj), event Bj occur and Ai deploy troops and carry out a task with Bj. Definition 4: For situation (Ai, Bj), Use Cij to mean the reliability of a defence Bj for countermeasures Ai, we called Cij as the unascertained density of situation. ∑ bj = p(Bj / Fi ) i=1 while: Method one: The result has been given through the unascertained measure of expert estimation, under the predisposing of Fi that caused the event occurs in war situation Bj, this constitute the predisposing factors matrix:.

DISCUSSION

CONCLUSION