Basal Serum Anti-Müllerian Hormone Level as a Predictor of Clinical Outcomes in Freezing-all Embryo Transfer Program.

Abstract

As a novel biomarker, there is inconsistent evidence regarding the association between anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) and live birth rate in freezing-all embryo transfer cycles. We aim to assess the prognostic effect of baseline AMH on clinical outcomes, especially live birth rate in freezing-all embryo transfer cycles. A total of 828 non-polycystic ovary patients that underwent their first frozen-thawed embryo transfers in our center between January 2010 and January 2015 were recruited in this retrospective analysis. Patients were stratified into three groups based on their baseline AMH concentration: low AMH group (<1.4 ng/mL), middle AMH group (1.4-5.8 ng/mL) and high AMH group (>5.8 ng/mL). The results showed that low AMH level was associated with adverse clinical outcomes. The differences in implantation rate (21.9% vs. 43.2% vs. 58.8%, P<0.001), clinical pregnancy rate (32.0% vs. 55.2% vs. 65.7%, P<0.001), live birth delivery rate (21.8% vs. 43.6% vs. 52.7%, P<0.001) and miscarriage rate (31.8% vs. 17.5% vs. 15.4%, P=0.014) among the three groups were statistically significant. After adjusting confounders (i.e. age, baseline FSH level, AFC, endometrium thickness, endometrium preparation protocols, number of embryos transferred, etiologies of infertility), differences in live birth rate, clinical pregnancy rate and implantation rate between groups remained significant. The further age subgroup analysis demonstrated that low AMH concentration was significantly associated with poor outcomes both in young and advanced patients. The area under the curve for serum AMH, age, AFC and FSH were 0.635, 0.634, 0.615 and 0.543 respectively, for predicting live birth. In conclusion, baseline AMH was an independent prognostic factor of live birth rate of freezing-all embryo transfers, but its predictive value on live birth rate was of limited clinical value.