Abstract
Whether the split of the Somali jet, sometimes seen on monthly mean streamline analyses, is a climatological or a dynamical feature has been the subject of long-standing debate. This paper explores the dynamical conditions leading to a split jet within the framework of a simple barotropic dynamic system. The initial conditions for the dynamical system, along with three other parameters – the jet width, the zonal wavelength, and the latitude of the β-plane, form a parameter space for the problem consisting of a range of solutions for the evolution of the jet. This paper identifies a region in the parameter space in which these solutions support a splitting of the jet. The width and wavelength of the Somali jet determined from observations are such that for most initial conditions the solutions reside near the boundary in parameter space between the split and non-split regions. It is therefore concluded that the splitting of the Somali jet can be a dynamical feature given the observed jet width and wavelength. Whether a split does or does not occur is determined by the parameters defining the initial zonal mean and perturbation flow in the jet, with the solution being highly sensitive to these initial conditions.
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