Abstract
Subject The outlook for the Bangladesh Nationalist Party. Significance With Bangladesh’s general election drawing closer, the main opposition Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP), which last held power in 2006, is battling to maintain unity as leaders argue and allies defect. Its chief and former Prime Minister Khaleda Zia was convicted in February in a corruption case, with further trials pending. Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s Awami League (AL), in power since 2009, is cracking down on political opponents. Impacts The AL will highlight estimated GDP growth of 7.65% in fiscal year 2017/18 (July-June) to appeal to voters. Pre-election political unrest may play into a resurgence of Islamist militant activity. Bangladeshi embassies around the world may be at risk of attacks from BNP supporters.
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