Abstract

Prescription drug spending in the US requires policy intervention to control costs and improve the value obtained from pharmaceutical spending. One such intervention is to apply cost-effectiveness evidence to decisions regarding drug coverage and pricing, but this intervention depends on the existence of such evidence to guide decisions. To characterize the availability and quality of cost-effectiveness studies for prescription drugs with the greatest Medicare Part D spending. In this national cross-sectional analysis, publicly available 2016 Medicare drug spending records were merged with 2016 US Food & Drug Administration Orange Book data and the Tufts Medical Center Cost-Effectiveness Analysis (CEA) Registry. All studies published through 2015 that evaluated the cost-effectiveness of the 250 drugs for which Medicare Part D spending was the greatest in US-based adult patient populations were included. Data were analyzed from September 2018 to June 2020. The presence and quality of published cost-effectiveness analyses for the 250 drugs for which Medicare Part D spending was greatest in 2016 were assessed based on the inclusion of key cost-effectiveness analysis elements and global ratings by independent reviewers for the Tufts CEA Registry. Medicare Part D spending on the 250 drugs in the sample totaled $122.8 billion in 2016 (84.1% of total spending). Of these 250 drugs, 91 (36.4%) had a generic equivalent and 159 (63.6%) retained some patent exclusivity. There were 280 unique cost-effectiveness analyses for these drugs, representing data on 135 (54.0%) of the 250 drugs included and 67.0% of Part D spending on the top 250 drugs. The 115 drugs (46.0%) without cost-effectiveness studies accounted for 33.0% of Part D spending on the top 250 drugs. Of the 280 available studies, 128 (45.7%) were industry sponsored. A large proportion of the studies (250 [89.3%]) did not meet the minimum quality requirements. In this cross-sectional study, a substantial proportion of 2016 Medicare Part D spending was for drugs with absent or low-quality cost-effectiveness analyses. The lack of quality analyses may present a challenge in efforts to develop policies addressing drug spending in terms of value.

Highlights

  • Before the COVID-19 pandemic, analysts forecasted that the US would spend $350 billion[1] on prescription drugs in 2020, whereas the global pharmaceutical market would increase to $1.3 trillion worldwide.[1]

  • A large proportion of the studies (250 [89.3%]) did not meet the minimum quality requirements. In this cross-sectional study, a substantial proportion of 2016 Medicare Part D spending was for drugs with absent or low-quality cost-effectiveness analyses

  • Meaning This study showed that a substantial proportion of 2016 Medicare Part D spending was for drugs with absent or low-quality cost-effectiveness analyses, which may present a challenge in efforts to develop policies addressing drug spending in terms of value

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Summary

Introduction

Before the COVID-19 pandemic, analysts forecasted that the US would spend $350 billion[1] on prescription drugs in 2020 (nearly 10% of US health care spending2), whereas the global pharmaceutical market would increase to $1.3 trillion worldwide.[1]. Data from CEAs can be used to promote access to high-value therapies, encourage additional development of high-value treatments, and provide information regarding reducing excess spending on low-value treatments

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