Abstract

This study estimated availability of an air compression system and a nitrogen generation system in liquefied natural gas—floating production storage and offloading unit (LNG-FPSO) with different design stages to investigate the gap between the availability at the early design stage and that at the late design stage. Although availability estimation in the early design stage is more important than the late design stage, it is difficult to estimate the availability accurately in the early design stage. The design stage was divided into three depending on the design progress. Monte Carlo simulation technique was employed for the availability estimation. The results of the availability estimation showed that there was 0.434% difference between the early and late design stages. This meant that the availability in the early design stage was underestimated due to limited information. A sensitivity analysis was performed to investigate critical factors affecting the results. The investigated factors were failure rate, repair time, redundant equipment, and modified preventive maintenance schedule. The most critical factor was redundant equipment. It increased 0.486% availability.

Highlights

  • Various factors are considered in system design, such as efficiency, costs, safety, and environmental effect

  • Several methods are available for the availability estimation: reliability block diagram (RBD), Markov model, and Monte Carlo simulation [17,18]

  • The availability decreased with the increment of the design stages because the is changed to the shortest transition time

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Summary

Introduction

Various factors are considered in system design, such as efficiency, costs, safety, and environmental effect. Availability estimation is frequently performed in the oil and gas, chemical, and power plant industries to find the optimum design option, to predict the production level, and to evaluate maintenance and operating policies. Many previous studies conducted the availability estimation for various systems to improve their designs. Basker and Martin [2] estimated the availability of production and electrical systems using the developed numerical method. They considered failure and repair rates following the non-exponential distribution. Keller and Stipho [3] conducted the availability estimation for two similar chlorine production plants which were located in different environmental conditions (Iraq and Switzerland)

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