Abstract

To develop and validate a machine learning (ML) approach for automatic three-dimensional (3D) histopathological grading of osteochondral samples imaged with contrast-enhanced micro-computed tomography (CEμCT). A total of 79 osteochondral cores from 24 total knee arthroplasty patients and two asymptomatic donors were imaged using CEμCT with phosphotungstic acid -staining. Volumes-of-interest (VOI) in surface (SZ), deep (DZ) and calcified (CZ) zones were extracted depth-wise and subjected to dimensionally reduced Local Binary Pattern -textural feature analysis. Regularized linear and logistic regression (LR) models were trained zone-wise against the manually assessed semi-quantitative histopathological CEμCT grades (diameter=2mm samples). Models were validated using nested leave-one-out cross-validation and an independent test set (4mm samples). The performance was primarily assessed using Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Average Precision (AP, confidence intervals are given in square brackets). Highest performance on cross-validation was observed for SZ, both on linear regression (MSE=0.49, 0.69 and 0.71 for SZ, DZ and CZ, respectively) and LR (AP=0.9 [0.77-0.99], 0.46 [0.28-0.67] and 0.65 [0.41-0.85] for SZ, DZ and CZ, respectively). The test set evaluations yielded increased MSE on all zones. For LR, the performance was also best for the SZ (AP=0.85 [0.73-0.93], 0.82 [0.70-0.92] and 0.8 [0.67-0.9], for SZ, DZ and CZ, respectively). We present the first ML-based automatic 3D histopathological osteoarthritis (OA) grading method which also adequately perform on grading unseen data, especially in SZ. After further development, the method could potentially be applied by OA researchers since the grading software and all source codes are publicly available.

Highlights

  • Conventional microscopic histopathological grading of osteochondral tissue is the gold standard for assessment of osteoarthritis (OA) severity ex vivo

  • We evaluated the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and the average precision (AP) of precisionerecall curves (PRC)

  • We investigated the feasibility of automation of the

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Summary

Introduction

Conventional microscopic histopathological grading of osteochondral tissue is the gold standard for assessment of osteoarthritis (OA) severity ex vivo. The most commonly used OA grading methods are Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI)[1] and Mankin[2] scoring systems[3]. Mankin scoring system was developed based on late-stage OA samples, having limitations for assessment of early OA4 and disease extent[5]. Histopathological grading methods sensitive to early changes are highly valuable for drug development and basic OA research[7]. Sensitive grading methods might potentially be utilized in developing biomarkers, which are essential when developing prevention of the late-stage disease or non-surgical disease-modifying treatments[8,9]

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