Abstract

49 Background: Pulmonary nodule incidental findings challenge providers to balance resource efficiency and high clinical quality. Incidental findings tend to be under evaluated with studies reporting appropriate follow-up rates as low as 29%. The efficient identification of patients with high risk nodules is foundational to ensuring appropriate follow-up and requires the clinical reading and classification of radiology reports. We tested the feasibility of automating this process with natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning (ML). Methods: In cooperation with Sarah Cannon, the Cancer Institute of HCA Healthcare, we conducted a series of experiments on 8,879 free-text, narrative CT radiology reports. A representative sample of health system ED, IP, and OP reports dated from Dec 2015 - April 2017 were divided into a development set for model training and validation, and a test set to evaluate model performance. A “Nodule Model” was trained to detect the reported presence of a pulmonary nodule and a rules-based “Size Model” was developed to extract the size of the nodule in mms. Reports were bucketed into three prediction groups: ≥ 6 mm, <6 mm, and no size indicated. Nodules were placed in a queue for follow-up if the nodule was predicted ≥ 6 mm, or if the nodule had no size indicated and the report contained the word “mass.” The Fleischner Society Guidelines and clinical review informed these definitions. Results: Precision and recall metrics were calculated for multiple model thresholds. A threshold was selected based on the validation set calculations and a success criterion of 90% queue precision was selected to minimize false positives. On the test dataset, the F1 measure of the entire pipeline was 72.9%, recall was 60.3%, and queue precision was 90.2%, exceeding success criteria. Conclusions: The experiments demonstrate the feasibility of technology to automate the detection and classification of pulmonary nodule incidental findings in radiology reports. This approach promises to improve healthcare quality by increasing the rate of appropriate lung nodule incidental finding follow-up and treatment without excessive labor or risking overutilization.

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