Abstract

Volcanic eruptions eject large amounts of ash and trace gases such as sulphur dioxide (SO2) into the atmosphere. A significant difficulty in mitigating the impact of volcanic SO2 clouds on air traffic safety is that these gas emissions can be rapidly transported over long distances. The use of space-borne instruments enables the global monitoring of volcanic SO2 emissions in an economical and risk-free manner. Within the European Space Agency (ESA) Sentinel-5p+ Innovation project, the S5P SO2 Layer Height (S5P+I: SO2 LH) activities led to the improvements on the retrieval algorithm and generation of the corresponding near-real-time S5P SO2 LH products. These are currently operationally provided, in near-real-time, by the German Aerospace Center (DLR) in the framework of the Innovative Products for Analyses of Atmospheric Composition, INPULS, project. The main aim of this paper is to present its extensive verification, accomplished within the S5P+I: SO2 LH project, over major recent volcanic eruptions, against collocated space-born measurements from the IASI/Metop and CALIOP/CALIPSO instruments, as well as assess its impact on the forecasts provided by the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Service, CAMS. The mean difference between S5P and IASI observations for the Raikoke 2019, the Nishinoshima 2020 and the La Soufrière-St Vincent, 2021 eruptive periods is ~0.5 ± 3 km, while for the Taal 2020 eruption, a larger difference was found, between 3 and 4 ± 3 km. The comparison of the daily mean SO2 layer heights further demonstrates the capabilities of this near-real-time product, with slopes between 0.8 and 1 and correlations ranging between 0.6 and 0.8. Comparisons between the S5P+I: SO2 LH and the CALIOP/CALIPSO ash plume height are also satisfactory at −2.5 ± 2 km, considering that the injected SO2 and ash plumes’ locations do not always coincide over an eruption. Furthermore, the CAMS assimilation of the S5P+I: SO2 LH product led to much improved model output against the non-assimilated IASI layer heights, with a mean difference of 1.5 ± 2 km compared to the original CAMS analysis, and improved the geographical spread of the Raikoke volcanic plume following the eruptive days.

Highlights

  • Volcanic eruptions eject large amounts of ash and trace gases such as sulphur dioxide (SO 2) into the atmosphere

  • The Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) assimilation of the S5P+I: SO2 LH product led to much improved model output against the non-assimilated IASI layer heights, with a mean difference of 1.5±2km compared to the original CAMS analysis, and improved the geographical spread of the Raikoke volcanic plume following the eruptive days

  • From the analysis presented in the SO2 LH VR (Koukouli et al, 2021) it was deduced that the optimal accuracy was achieved when filtering the reported LH values using a QA value greater than 0.5, a LH flag less than 16 and an associated SO2 load greater than 20 D.U

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Summary

Introduction

Volcanic eruptions eject large amounts of ash and trace gases such as sulphur dioxide (SO 2) into the atmosphere. Ten years have passed since the ash cloud from the 2010 Icelandic Eyjafjallajokull volcano caused an unprecedented disruption to air traffic across Europe, affecting the flight schedules of approximately 10 million passengers and resulting in nearly 2 billion US dollars in lost airline revenue (Bolić and Sivčev, 2011). This eruption led to increased awareness of the threat of volcanic ash to air traffic in Europe, and numerous advances have taken place since with regard to research, regulation, and cooperation (Reichardt et al, 2017). The disruption that the Eyjafjallajökull & Grímsvötn 2010 and 2011 eruptions had on airborne traffic has led the International

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