Abstract

Climate models simulate lower rates of North Atlantic heat transport under greenhouse gas climates than at present due to a reduction in the strength of the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). Solar geoengineering whereby surface temperatures are cooled by reduction of incoming shortwave radiation may be expected to ameliorate this effect. We investigate this using six Earth System Models running scenarios from GeoMIP (Geoengineering model intercomparison project) in the cases of: i) reduction in the solar constant, mimicking dimming of the sun; ii) sulfate aerosol injection into the lower equatorial stratosphere; and iii) brightening of the ocean regions mimicking enhancing tropospheric cloud amounts. We find that despite across model differences, AMOC decreases are attributable to reduced air-ocean temperature differences, and reduced September Arctic sea ice extent, with no significant impact from changing surface winds or precipitation-evaporation. Reversing the surface freshening of the North Atlantic overturning regions caused by decreased summer sea ice sea helps to promote AMOC. Comparing the geoengineering types after normalizing them for the differences in top of atmosphere radiative forcing, we find that solar dimming is more effective than either marine cloud brightening or stratospheric aerosol injection.

Highlights

  • Geoengineering, that is the deliberate and large-scale manipulation of the Earth’s climate, has been proposed as a way to 25 mitigate or offset some of the impacts of anthropogenic global warming (Keith, 2000)

  • Comparing the geoengineering types after normalizing them for the differences in top of atmosphere radiative forcing, we find that solar dimming is more effective than either marine cloud brightening or stratospheric aerosol injection

  • The three Solar Radiation Management (SRM) methods we studied, solar dimming (G1), marine cloud brightening (MCB) (G1oceanAlbedo and G4cdnc) and Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) (G4) mitigate the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) weakening caused by greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing

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Summary

Introduction

Geoengineering, that is the deliberate and large-scale manipulation of the Earth’s climate, has been proposed as a way to 25 mitigate or offset some of the impacts of anthropogenic global warming (Keith, 2000). Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) whereby aerosols aloft reflect incoming solar radiation, and marine cloud brightening (MCB), that is introducing aerosols into the marine boundary layer and thereby increasing cloud droplet numbers and their reflectivity (Jones et al, 2011; Ahlm 30 et al, 2017) are the most commonly discussed methods.

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