Abstract

There exists a dearth of research focused explicitly on predictors of attrition, particularly in the area of group therapy, where both attrition and attendance becomes of primary concern. The present study examined both pretreatment and treatment-specific variables in the prospective prediction of attendance and attrition in group therapy. Fifty-two participants were randomized to one of two 12-week group treatments. Participants completed baseline interviews and questionnaires, as well as weekly assessments of treatment-specific factors. No pretreatment factors predicted attendance or drop out, although men attended a larger amount of sessions and were less likely to drop out. Cross-lagged panel analyses supported bidirectional, causal relationships both treatment-specific predictors (therapeutic alliance and number of therapeutic techniques) and attendance. Successful retention in group therapy may be less predictable from pretreatment factors and instead lie in increasing alliance and fostering the practice of therapeutic strategies.

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