Abstract

Abstract. Recently, a significant increase in the atmospheric moisture content has been documented over the Arctic, where both local contributions and poleward moisture transport from lower latitudes can play a role. This study focuses on the anomalous moisture transport events confined to long and narrow corridors, known as atmospheric rivers (ARs), which are expected to have a strong influence on Arctic moisture amounts, precipitation, and the energy budget. During two concerted intensive measurement campaigns – Arctic CLoud Observations Using airborne measurements during polar Day (ACLOUD) and the Physical feedbacks of Arctic planetary boundary layer, Sea ice, Cloud and AerosoL (PASCAL) – that took place at and near Svalbard, three high-water-vapour-transport events were identified as ARs, based on two tracking algorithms: the 30 May event, the 6 June event, and the 9 June 2017 event. We explore the temporal and spatial evolution of the events identified as ARs and the associated precipitation patterns in detail using measurements from the French (Polar Institute Paul Emile Victor) and German (Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research) Arctic Research Base (AWIPEV) in Ny-Ålesund, satellite-borne measurements, several reanalysis products (the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA) Interim (ERA-Interim); the ERA5 reanalysis; the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2); the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2); and the Japanese 55-Year Reanalysis (JRA-55)), and the HIRHAM regional climate model version 5 (HIRHAM5). Results show that the tracking algorithms detected the events differently, which is partly due to differences in the spatial and temporal resolution as well as differences in the criteria used in the tracking algorithms. The first event extended from western Siberia to Svalbard, caused mixed-phase precipitation, and was associated with a retreat of the sea-ice edge. The second event, 1 week later, had a similar trajectory, and most precipitation occurred as rain, although mixed-phase precipitation or only snowfall occurred in some areas, mainly over the coast of north-eastern Greenland and the north-east of Iceland, and no differences were noted in the sea-ice edge. The third event showed a different pathway extending from the north-eastern Atlantic towards Greenland before turning south-eastward and reaching Svalbard. This last AR caused high precipitation amounts on the east coast of Greenland in the form of rain and snow and showed no precipitation in the Svalbard region. The vertical profiles of specific humidity show layers of enhanced moisture that were concurrent with dry layers during the first two events and that were not captured by all of the reanalysis datasets, whereas the HIRHAM5 model misrepresented humidity at all vertical levels. There was an increase in wind speed with height during the first and last events, whereas there were no major changes in the wind speed during the second event. The accuracy of the representation of wind speed by the reanalyses and the model depended on the event. The objective of this paper was to build knowledge from detailed AR case studies, with the purpose of performing long-term analysis. Thus, we adapted a regional AR detection algorithm to the Arctic and analysed how well it identified ARs, we used different datasets (observational, reanalyses, and model) and identified the most suitable dataset, and we analysed the evolution of the ARs and their impacts in terms of precipitation. This study shows the importance of the Atlantic and Siberian pathways of ARs during spring and beginning of summer in the Arctic; the significance of the AR-associated strong heat increase, moisture increase, and precipitation phase transition; and the requirement for high-spatio-temporal-resolution datasets when studying these intense short-duration events.

Highlights

  • The Arctic is a region of major interest due to its high sensitivity to global warming with significant implications for both the regional climate and the global climate system (McGuire et al, 2006)

  • We take a closer look at these events using high-temporal-resolution integrated water vapour (IWV) measurements by Humidity And Temperature PROfiler (HATPRO) in Ny-Ålesund and using IWV and integrated vapour transport (IVT) from the ERA5 reanalysis during the complete period of the ACLOUD and PASCAL campaigns; the latter data depict strong IWV and IVT variability including distinct IWV maxima on these days (Fig. 1)

  • For the times of the highest IWV at Ny-Ålesund during each event, we investigate the spatial IWV structure for three reanalysis datasets (ERA-Interim, ERA5, and MERRA-2) with different temporal and spatial resolution, HIRHAM regional climate model version 5 (HIRHAM5) model, and satellite measurements (Fig. 2)

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Summary

Introduction

The Arctic is a region of major interest due to its high sensitivity to global warming with significant implications for both the regional climate and the global climate system (McGuire et al, 2006). Others argue that the predominant reason is the enhanced poleward moisture flux during recent decades (Zhang et al, 2013), which is expected to continuously increase in the future (Bengtsson et al, 2011; Bintanja and Selten, 2014; Kattsov et al, 2007; Skific and Francis, 2013) This might be due to several factors or a combination of them, such as changes in the atmospheric circulation patterns, increased moisture transport intensity, and/or higher evaporation rates in the lower-latitude moisture source regions (Gimeno et al, 2015). In their review, Gimeno et al (2019) reason that there is no agreement in the calculated trends in atmospheric moisture transport to the Arctic

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