Abstract

The amount of precipitation forms a varied climate type in various zones of the earth’s surface. The purpose of the research is the consideration of the cause, nature, as well as the long-term forecast of precipitation as one of the environmental aspects affecting climate change. Modern analysis determined the factors affecting the distribution of precipitation on the surface of the Earth within the borders of the Volgograd region. Literary materials, data of meteorological stations, research results and observations were used. As a result of the work, the regularity of the cyclicity of precipitation was established on the basis of perennial observations by meteorological stations and is given by the forecast forecast algorithm for the prospect. Several characteristic areas on the trend were identified: periods from 1955 to 1973 (transition cycle), from 1910 to 1951 and from 1973 to 2008 (sharply pronounced cyclic precipitation processes). The main reasons affecting precipitation are determined, this is the state of the lower layers of the atmosphere and the location of the territory Analysis of the trend of falling precipitation indicates the presence of synchronization, periodicity and cyclicity of processes. The forecast of precipitation allows you to simulate river regimes, including the risks of floods, minimizing social and economic losses.

Highlights

  • The total annual amount of precipitation, the time and dynamics of their loss significantly affects many natural processes, including river mode, erosion processes [1, 2]

  • The factors themselves are due to their nature

  • No exception and solar radiation coming to the earth's surface [5,6,7,8]

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Summary

Introduction

The total annual amount of precipitation, the time and dynamics of their loss significantly affects many natural processes, including river mode, erosion processes [1, 2]. Atmospheric precipitates falling on the ground surface are the main source of moisture for drain and evaporation. The atmosphere is represented as a giant thermal machine, resulting in the radiant energy (radiation) of the Sun. The movement of the air masses is caused by various heating of individual sections of the Earth and the precipice of the atmospheric pressure. The movement of the air masses is caused by various heating of individual sections of the Earth and the precipice of the atmospheric pressure

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