Asymptotic probability of majority inversion under a general binomial voting model

Abstract

We obtain limits on the probability of majority inversion when the number of voters tends to infinity, for a binomial voting model specific to each state with different population sizes, and for different voting quotas in the two stages of the voting procedure. The case of weighted votes at the second stage is also discussed. For an important special case where the limit cannot be determined, we provide an exact expression for the inversion probability, but only for unweighted votes.