Asymptotic behaviour of the finite‐time ruin probability in renewal risk models

Abstract

AbstractIn this paper we study the tail behaviour of the probability of ruin within finite time t, as initial risk reserve x tends to infinity, for the renewal risk model with strongly subexponential claim sizes. The asymptotic formula holds uniformly for t∈[f(x), ∞), where f(x) is an infinitely increasing function, and substantially extends the result of Tang (Stoch. Models 2004; 20:281–297) obtained for the class of claim distributions with consistently varying tails. Two examples illustrate the result. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.