Asymptotic bayesian inference in some nonstandard cases: Bernstein–von Mises Results and regular bayes' estimators

Abstract

Asymptotically with probability close to one, the convergence in variation (also in distribution) to the multivariate normal, of the aposteriori density function of a parameter agains an apriori density, viz. the BERNSTEIN–VON MISES results are established when observations are not necessarily indenpendent or identically distributed but satisfy weak regularity assumptions on their joint density function. Regular BAYES' estimators are defined with respect to regular loss functions and a positive apriori density and proved consistent, asymptotically efficient and asymptotically normal. Examples and applications to conjugate families of densities, to inference in MARKOV Chains and other nonstandard cases illustrate results