Asymmetric Impacts of Public Debt on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence From Vietnam

Abstract

Purpose: The objective studies the influence of government debt on the expansion of the Vietnamese economy was the subject of the research presented in this article. Theoretical framework: Most governments in developing nations have budget deficits due to excessive spending and inadequate revenue. When the government chooses to pay the budget deficit through borrowing, it incurs a liability known as public debt and public debt on economic growth. Design/methodology/approach: In regression analysis involving time series data, if the regression model contains the variables' present values and the lagged values (past values), this model is known as the lagged distribution model. If the model's explanatory variables include one or more lagged values of the dependent variable, the model is called the autoregressive model. Nonlinear Auto Regressive Distributed Lag regression was applied. Findings: The findings reveal that government debt has a considerable and disproportionate effect on sustained economic growth in the short and long run using a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model with quarterly data over twenty years beginning in 2000. Research, Practical & Social implications: The results indicate a disproportional association between public sector debt levels and short- and long-term economic growth. The results are consistent with recent empirical studies showing a nonlinear relationship between some nations' public debt and economic development. Originality/value: Government debt should support short- and long-term economic growth through funding production. Consequently, government debt should not burden the economy when the high amount of debt exceeds the capacity to repay.