Asymmetric Impacts of ENSO on Boreal Winter Southern Subtropical Cell in the Indian Ocean

Abstract

AbstractThe interannual relationships between the southern subtropical cell (SSTC) in the Indian Ocean (IO) and the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are examined. The results demonstrate that the impacts of ENSO on the boreal winter IO SSTC display a notable negative skewness, with the amplification of the SSTC during La Niña being far stronger than its reduction during El Niño. This difference is mainly attributed to an asymmetry in anomalous meridional geostrophic transport, characterized by more robust southward (weaker northward) geostrophic transport anomalies during La Niña (El Niño) events. Further analyses reveal that the differing longitudinal positions of the ENSO‐related sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) are the primary drivers of the asymmetry in anomalous meridional geostrophic transport via the oceanic and atmospheric teleconnections. Compared to the warm SSTA in El Niño events, the La Niña‐related cool SSTA in the central‐eastern equatorial Pacific displays a greater westward extension, which induces stronger surface easterlies over the western equatorial Pacific, and then initiates a more substantial sea surface height anomaly (SSHA) in the southeast Indian Ocean (SEIO) through oceanic waveguides. This leads to a heightened zonal SSHA gradient over the southern IO, resulting in a larger anomalous meridional geostrophic transport. On the other hand, the westward extension of negative SSTA during La Niña winters triggers anomalous cyclonic northerlies along the western coast of Australia by shifting the Walker circulation westward. These coastal northerlies amplify the positive SSHA signals in the SEIO and enhance the anomalous meridional geostrophic transport, ultimately contributing to a more robust IO SSTC response.