Abstract

AbstractA thorough understanding of the evolutionary trends of river bifurcation channels is crucial for effective estuarine management in China's Greater Bay Area due to significant morphological changes observed in river mouth channels. At this tide‐influenced river mouth, where suspended sediment transport is dominant, how river mouth bifurcated channels that have different angles to the major axis of the incoming tidal flow in the receiving basin evolve on decadal scales remains unclear. Based on a comparative analysis of historical bathymetric data and numerical experiments using a validated morphodynamic model, we developed a conceptual model to illustrate the two end members of the morphological evolution of river mouth channels: a low‐angle (<45°) main channel and a high‐angle (>45°) secondary channel relative to the major axis of tidal flow in the receiving basin. If the mouth outflow also has a low angle with the main channel, the incoming tidal discharge fluxes have first‐order control over changes in the evolutionary trend of the bifurcated channels by changing the partition of residual sediment discharges between the two bifurcated channels. For example, a high incoming tidal discharge that varies around the mean flow increases the partitioning of residual sediment discharges from the upstream channel to the low‐angle channel, facilitating tide‐induced erosion in the low‐angle channel. By contrast, a low incoming tidal discharge decreases the partitioning of residual sediment discharges from the upstream channel to the low‐angle channel, which facilitates fluvial‐induced erosion in the high‐angle channel. Thus, high tidal discharges usually coincide with the river mouth adopting a single channel, and low tidal discharges facilitate the formation of fluvial‐induced bifurcation. The historical evolution of the river mouth and modern velocity measurements corroborated results derived from model experiments. The conceptual model applies to river mouths where suspended sediment transport is dominant and influenced by angled incoming tides.

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