Abstract

ASTI, a data assimilation system for integrated transport simulation of fusion plasma, has been developed to predict and control the fusion plasma behavior. ASTI employs the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and smoother (EnKS) as data assimilation methods and the integrated transport simulation code for helical fusion plasma, TASK3D, as the system model. ASTI assimilates the time-series data of measured temperature and density radial profiles into the particle and heat transport simulation. In this study, we consider the uncertainties included in the density, temperature, transport model, neutral beam injection (NBI) heating model, and particle source model. We apply ASTI to 12 experimental data sets of the NBI-heated plasma in Large Helical Device (LHD) and investigate the validity of estimation and the prediction performance of ASTI. The obtained radial profile and time evolution of density, electron temperature, and ion temperature agree well with the experimental data sets. Faster and more accurate integrated transport simulation is realized byASTI than the previous integrated simulation of fusion plasmas.

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