Abstract

The study is an epidemiological cohort study. The analysis included 1240 people aged 25-44 years. The endpoint was combined and included: death from cardiovascular disease, myocardial infarction, probable myocardial infarction, acute cerebrovascular accident, hospitalization for cardiovascular disease, and revascularization. Adipocytokines were determined with a MILLIPLEX panel. In the examined population, 1.7% of cases of cardiovascular events were detected during cohort observation, of which 28.6% were fatal events. In men, cardiovascular endpoints were recorded 4.3 times more often than in women (17 (81%) vs. 4 (19%), p = 0.003). In individuals with cardiovascular events, arterial hypertension (2.6 times), diabetes mellitus (8.6 times), and overweight/obesity (1.5 times) were more often recorded compared to individuals without cardiovascular events. For tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNFa), the threshold value was 2.5 pg/mL, with sensitivity assessment (Se) at 85.7% and specificity (Sp) at 83.3%. For amylin, the threshold value was 10.5 pg/mL, with Se at 73.7% and Sp at 67.0%. For pancreatic polypeptide (PP), the threshold value was 43.7 pg/mL, with Se at 85.7% and Sp at 56.7%. A method for assessing the risk of cardiovascular events in young people includes determining the levels of amylin, PP, and TNFa in blood serum. The cut-off points for predicting cardiovascular events were levels of amylin above 10.5 pg/mL, PP above 43.7 pg/mL, or a decrease in TNFa below 3.8 pg/mL.

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