Abstract

556 Background: It is occasionally recognized that, in molecular targeted therapy, target-specific AEs can surrogate its efficacy, such as skin toxicities and anti-EGFR antibodies. Because of multikinase inhibitor, regorafenib is involved in various kinds of adverse events; however, the clinical associations between AEs and efficacy remain unclear. The aim of this study is to reveal what AEs could surrogate efficacy of regorafenib. Methods: AEs were graded according to CTCAE ver. 4.0. We defined as “CRP increased”, if CRP increased more than 5 mg/dl during treatment compared with the baseline level. Time to treatment failure (TTF) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods and compared by the log-rank test. Covariates which were significant in univariate analysis were included in multivariate analysis. Results: One-hundred and two patients were enrolled in this study. Almost all patients were PS 0-1 and received 160mg of regorafenib as an initial dose. The median TTF and the median OS were 2.0 and 8.0 months, respectively. Major AEs were Hand-foot skin reaction (HFSR) in 82.4% (≥Gr3:38.2%), Hypertension (HT) in 39.2% (16.7%), Rash in 23.5% (8.8%), Blood bilirubin increased (BBI) in 58.8% (2.9%), Thrombocytopenia in 48.0% (3.9%), Neutropenia in 20.5% (0%), and CRP increased in 46.1%. Regarding TTF, in univariate analysis, BBI, AST increased Gr0-1, neutropenia, absence of CRP increased, Diarrhea, HFSR, and Rash Gr0-2 were associated with longer TTF. In multivariate analysis, HFSR (HR 0.34 95%CI 0.19-0.63, p = 0.001) and Rash ≥Gr3 (HR 2.43 95%CI 1.13-5.21, p = 0.023) retained to be significant. With respect to OS, in univariate analysis, AST increased Gr0-1, ALT increased Gr0-1, neutropenia, absence of CRP increased, HFSR, and Rash Gr0-2 were associated with longer OS. In multivariate analysis, HFSR (HR 0.47 95%CI 0.24-0.91, p = 0.026), neutropenia (HR 0.54 95%CI 0.30-0.95, p = 0.032) and AST ≥Gr2 (HR 5.72 95%CI 2.11-15.63, p = 0.023) retained to be significant. Conclusions: HFSR and neutropenia might surrogate regorafenib efficacy in mCRC. Elucidation of the mechanisms of these AEs may help to understand which the pathway is the key role of regorafenib treatment in mCRC.

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